为什么市场情绪对外汇交易很重要

为什么市场情绪对外汇交易很重要

博客
6月 18, 2020 通过 Lorenzo
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在外汇交易社区中,每个人对此都有自己的看法。每个人对于市场的发展方向和原因都有自己的观点。在进行货币交易时,交易员会透露他们对所进行交易的看法和前景。
为什么市场情绪对外汇交易很重要

在外汇交易社区中,每个人对此都有自己的看法。每个人对于市场的发展方向和原因都有自己的观点。在进行货币交易时,交易员会透露他们对所进行交易的看法和前景。

To be honest, a forex trader’s view about why the market is moving in a certain way is not significant. Adding to that, it is impressive how perfectly the trend lines align, but the traders may end up facing losses in their assets.

So as a forex trader, you must acknowledge that the forex market is a mixture of different opinions, ideas, and views, not based solely on one individual trader’s point of view. Now we have to understand why market sentiment is important for forex trading.

什么是市场情绪?

上述各个要素的数量取决于市场参与者的数量。所有这些因素使我们断言,外汇市场情绪是所有市场交易者的综合看法。

It can be defined as the emotion or idea about the forex market’s ongoing direction, shared by the majority of the forex traders.

为什么市场情绪对外汇交易很重要

情绪分析不同于技术分析和基础分析。从理论上讲,价格走势表明了外汇市场的所有可能变动。但是您必须记住,对于外汇交易者而言,这并非易事。

As all the traders will make the same moves, the forex market doesn’t reveal all the necessary signaling info and analysis at once for public consumption. That is when sentiment analysis enters the trading game.

通过了解情绪分析,即使没有足够的数据,也可以预测市场的走势。

什么是情感分析

什么是情绪分析?

如前所述,情绪分析是参与市场的所有外汇交易者的分析报告,测量结果和情绪和心理状态的指标。

看涨或看跌,这里将使用两个关键术语,这表示乐观或悲观。情绪分析会密切关注这些因素。根据该假设,当大多数外汇交易者具有共同的情感时,分析师将反对大众的情感。

基于情感进行交易被称为逆势技术,它主要取决于多头和空头比率以及其他一些情感因素,但效果并不明显。

So the sentiment analysis is synthesized with the technical and fundamental analyses to give you a more in-depth insight into the market’s movements. Keeping all three analyses on the mind can be tricky, but it totally pays off.

如何分析市场情绪?

市场情绪是一个相对较新的概念,已引入分析师,专家和策略师。它调查他们以了解他们对市场价格走势的总体感觉。情绪指标可以分析市场情绪。

Sentiment indicators refer to the graphical, mathematical, or numeric representation of how a specific group of traders fell about the market environment and other factors. It’s like a mood ring for the forex market. It is available over the internet. But it is to be noted that these sentiment polls indicate the past situations of the market rather than where it is going. Most of the time, the survey forecast is that the market will go against most traders.

有三个重要指标。

逆势方法

逆向方法调查人群行为。这意味着在多头达到顶峰时买入,在空头达到顶峰时卖出;当市场触底时。之所以采用这种方法,是因为市场情绪依赖于许多有偏见的观点和观点,而几乎所有这些观点和观点几乎都不可能被注意到。

有很多用于此目的的工具,甚至还有更多的解释方式。这些指标是透明的,所有人都很容易获得。

贸易商承诺报告

交易者承诺报告(又称COT)使我们了解了全球各种商业和投机交易者的趋势和位置以及交易者的承诺能力。外汇市场是场外交易或场外交易市场,未来市场是现货市场的替代产品。

如何分析市场情绪

CFTS或商品期货交易委员会会在每个星期五发布一份新的更新的COT报告。它可用于在有限的时间范围内获得有关外汇市场的总体思路。它包含各种有用的信息,包括显示各种交易者所有期货合约的总多头和空头头寸的数据。

波动率指数或VIX

The VIX is very popular in the forex trading community. As the name suggests, it’s a sentiment indicator to measure volatility. You might already know that the volatility is the value of fluctuation of foreign exchange current prices from the mean price in the time span of a day.

隐含波动率越大,跟随趋势的交易者对市场预期将达到极限的恐惧就越大。

结论

As we explained, forex sentiment plays a vital role in the trading and investments of the forex market. The mainstream sentiment of the traders identifies the direction of the market movements. It takes notes of what the traders discuss, their moods, and if they’re bullish or bearish. This analysis is applicable while predicting market movements on the basis of the current situation.

我们建议您对极端的读数保持警惕,以预测价格的任何剧烈变化。通过理解所有这些,您可以清楚地了解为什么市场情绪对外汇交易很重要。

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